California has arrived in the first three atmosphere storm series.
The forecaster hopes that the winter storm may ultimately lift Los Angeles County from the distress of the devastating fire season. However, there is still a risk that heavy rains around the burn areas can cause dangerous landslides and debris. This is particularly concerned about the Parisards and the Pacific Parisards and Altadena in the area of the Parisard and Eaton fire.
This is what you need to know:
timing
Los Angeles and Ventura County
A wide range of rain from Tuesday to Wednesday is expected, and the shower may be extended on Thursday. The peak of Arashi is expected from 10 pm on Tuesday to noon on Wednesday.
This area is expected to be one of the storms of one atmosphere -relatively weak.
“The most likely scenario is due to the moderate rainfall and the general useful rain in the area,” said Rose Schoenfeldo, the National Meteorological Bureau of the Ox Nard. Ta. “But … the possibility that the rainfall is significantly high may be small.”
San Diego, Orange County and inland Empire
There is a possibility that it will rain on Wednesday, and there is a slight rain on Tuesday and Thursday. There is no big rainfall.
Santa Barbara and Saint -Luis Obisupo County
The peak of the rain is from noon on Tuesday to 6:00 am on Wednesday. In addition, two counties can rain very light on weekends. Probably less than 1 inches.
North California
Three air rivers storms are set to Northern California Dauss. The first Sunday to Sunday, Monday and Tuesday, the last Wednesday and Thursday. The expected snowfall may jump up a slow snowman, holding the key to the state of water in the state.
California Highway Patrol has begun to demand chains for vehicles running on the Donor Samit on the 80th Expressway.
Risk of landslides and debris flow
In LA counties, it is generally expected that the amount of rainfall is expected, but precipitation may bring minor to the risk of moderate debris and landslides in recent burn areas such as paricades and Eaton fires. There is.
The wildfire is avoiding the soil with water. During the heavy rain, water easily flows burns, picks up rocks, branches, and sometimes huge rocks, resulting in destructive and sometimes fatal consequences.
“There is a risk. … [rain falling at a rate of] 0.5 inches per hour, that’s the excitement of the fragments, “says Schoenfeld. “So there may be some influence on this storm.”
There are several other fresh burns in this area. Hearst fire near Silmer. The fuse is located around Lake Castai and near Santa Clarita. Kenneth is not far from Carabasus. Hollywood Hills sunset fire. Franklin in the Maribbean region will fire. And the bridge of Sangabriel Mountains, west and southwest of Lightwood.
From the fire of 2024 and 2025 to Southland’s recent burns.
(National Marine Annality Bureau)
The landslide and the debris were concerned about the first major winter storm last weekend. Fortunately, the heavy rainfall avoided burns. Still, some roads were closed for small floods and deep mud.
Can the next rain end the fire season?
Downtown in Los Angeles received a 0.54 -inch rain during the last storm and gained another 0.83 inches from Tuesday to Thursday. Rain from Friday to Saturday will increase.
Meteorological scholars say that in this area, it is necessary to see 2-4 inches to consider the season of the wildfire comfortably.
“We are approaching it,” said Shanefeld in the future. “I can’t say it, but it’s definitely a possibility.” LA county is approaching the decisive end of the fire season.
Total rainfall
The most likely scenario of LA and Ventura County will rain 0.5 inches to 1.5 inches from Tuesday to Thursday to Thursday to autumn from autumn to autumn, with 1 to 3 inches in mountains and hills. In the case of Santa Barbara and Saint -Luis Obisopo County, 1-2 inches is expected, and there are 2-4 inches in mountains and hills.
Covina was able to get 1 inch rain. Long beach, 3 -inch 3 inches. LA downtown and Redund Beach, 5/5 inches. Santa Clarita, 1/1N of 1 inch. Thousand oaks, Canoga Park, Pyramid Lake, about 1 inch. Oxnard and Filmore, about 1.2 inches. Santa Barbara, 1.53 inches. Cambria, 1.96 inches.
Under this scenario, there may be “especially in the gorgeous river, landslides and road erosion on a sensitive road with a certain rock slide.”
(National weather service)
“If it gets a little further south, the LA county can see a higher rain rate, and then San Lewis Obbbispo … and the Santa Barbara County may have a lower ratio of rain. Shanefeldo said.
Heavy scenarios can rain more than 1.6 inches in downtown LA, long beach and Redund beach, and may rain more than 1.8 inches in Santa Clarita.
It increases the risk of floods and debris in the roads in recent burn areas.
(National weather service)
There are also low -performance scenarios that downtown LA, long beach and Redund beach can only obtain about one -third of rain.
Forcians said on Friday that both the “worst case” scenario and the “low amount” have the potential for 10 % to 20 %.
(National weather service)
Arashi is expected to be stronger in Northern California. This weekend, a floodwatch that arrived east of San Francisco Gulf, Sacramento Valley, and northern Sanhoa Kimburley, arriving east toward Reno.
It rains moderately in the Bay Area on Friday, and the second heavy rain is expected early in the afternoon from Saturday morning to early afternoon. According to Monterley’s Meteorological Service Office, light rain is expected in Sunday regions, and the middle of the rain in the middle of Monday is predicted.
“Excessive outflow can lead to floods in river and floods in other lowlands and places where floods are likely to occur,” said the Monterley Office. “People living in areas that are likely to fall into floods need to be ready to take action in the event of a flood.”
snow
For LA county, Schoenfeldo said that the storm in the future would be very warm -a week ago, he was a much colder storm.
It is expected that only Sangabriel in Ventura County and the best mountains in the mountains will be seen. It is not expected that this storm will bring snow to the grape vine section of the Ilan Expressway 5, which crosses Tehon Pass and connects LA County with Chingya.
On the other hand, I hope that Northern California has a lot of snow. The three atmosphere rivers are predicted. [and] Courtney Carpenter, a weather scholar at the Sacramento Office at the Meteorological Bureau, states:
The second and third waves of Arashi said, “It gets colder, snow falls before the big mountains, the influence of travel, and all the feet are blown away.”
The Reno National Meteorological Bureau’s office has issued a backcountry avalanche clock until next Saturday, indicating that there is a high risk of avalanches in Lake Taho.
Dry January end
Many Southern California have seen only one important storm in the last eight months. This is a record start of the year of water that started on October 1st. Ripe vegetation with bone -dried landscapes, along with the Parisards and Eaton Fire Storms in January, is a disaster recipe combined with a strong Santaanana wind and ignition sauce.
Northern California started the rainy season in November and December, but saw it dry in January. After kicking off in January with a snowpack above average in Sielanebada, the latest snow survey in Friday states found that it was 65 % of the average at this time.
“California has missed the heavy snowy storm of January, which was lowered below the average at this time,” said Carla Nemes, Director of the State Ministry of Foreign Affairs. “We are excited to see some storm activities in the next few days, but the sustainable period of no precipitation may make the condition dries very quickly. Every day. And because it is not raining, I have not caught up with what I need. “
Gov. Gavin Newsom signed an administrative order on Friday and maximized the collection and storage of state water before the future storm.
“We are preparing to use all of the last drops to enhance the water supply for the entire state by using all the last drops because of the anticipated rain and snow in the Northern California,” said the newsmom. “We are literally creating a rainy day fund to recover from multiple years of drought and prepare for a hotter and dry future.”
NEWSOM stated on Thursday that the state had developed resources and staff before the storm to respond to potential emergency.
“I know my experience knows that these storms can punch,” he said. “The best thing that people can do now is to maintain preparation and vigilance.”
The California Governor’s Emergency Service Bureau suggests that residents will stay inside to reduce the risk of injury during the storm during the storm, and do not drive the driver in the driver. We are encouraged to prepare for the possibility of a power outage.
For those who live near the burn area, the authorities suggest that they will learn evacuation routes and prepare a gobag in case they need to evacuate quickly.
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