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The fight to protect the House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections will be fought on a limited battlefield, leading nonpartisan politicians predict.
Cook’s political report threw 10 Democrat-owned seats and eight Republican-controlled seats as it unveiled the first rankings for the upcoming midterm elections on Thursday.
GOP holds a thin 220-215 majority on razors at home, with perfect strength. In other words, Democrats will only need three seats to regain the Chamber of Commerce in 2026 for the first time in four years.
“Another Knife Battle for the Majority” is the headline of the Cook Report used to explain the upcoming home showdown.
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Cook Report publisher, editor and editor Amy Walter said in a social media post that “a small playing field + unstable political situation = an epic battle for home control” I guessed it.
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Here are the 10 House Democrats who have reelection listed as a toss-up: Derek Tran (CA-45) of California; Jared Golden (ME-02) of Maine; Gabe Vasquez (NM-02) of New Mexico; Laura Gillen (NY-04) of New York; Don, North Carolina Davis (NC-01); Mercy Capter (OH-09) of Ohio; Emilia Sykes (OH-13) of Ohio; Vicente Gonzalez (TX-34) of Texas; Marie Grusen of Washington Camp Perez (WA-03).
Maine Democrat Jared Golden will speak at a press conference at the State Capitol in Augusta, Maine on November 1, 2022 (AP Photo/Robert F. Bucati)
Here are eight Republicans spotlighted as vulnerable by the Cook Report: Juan Siscommani of Arizona (AZ-06); Gabe Evans of Colorado (Co-08); Mariannette Miller-Meeks of Iowa (IA-01); Tom Barrett of Michigan (MI-07); Nebraska Don Bacon (NE-02); Ryan McKenzie (PA-07) of Pennsylvania; Scott Perry (PA-10) of Pennsylvania.
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Iowa Republican Rep. Marian Net Millermeek will speak with local farmers on the set of a “burn talk” podcast at Whistler Family Farm near Washington, Iowa on November 1, 2024.
President Donald Trump has been forced to marry the White House and Republicans over the Senate, and the GOP won a majority of vulnerable homes in the November election.
That means Republicans will not only defend a razor majority in 2026 to get all the seats of the 435 homes again, but also face the traditional mid-term election headwinds when parties of power are faced with the headwinds of the midterm elections. Because of this, we also face a lot of history.
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But Erin Covedy and Matthew Klein of Cook’s report said, “Their majority are dangerously thin, but in a way, Republicans were in a stronger position than in 2018. Trump’s latest victory was widespread. I’ve been rushing to the left since 2016, making massive break-ins in urban areas.”
They added that “nearly all of the most competitive House districts have moved to the right between 2020 and 2024 (the Washington District 3 was the only exception.”
The U.S. Capitol in Washington, DC will be seen on December 12, 2024. (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)
Mike Marinella, a spokesman for the National Republican Congressional Committee, touted in a statement that “mathematics is in our favour and it’s clear that Republicans are attacking in 2026.”
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He also said, “Hospital Democrats are in a hellish situation — they don’t have a clear message and can’t sell voters on their failed agenda. We are responsible for Democrats and Republican majority. “We will strive tirelessly to help grow.”
“Voters are responsible for House Republicans for not cutting costs while promoting a corrupt culture that benefits billionaires, while also promoting a non-reducing cost,” Courtney Rice, communications director for the Rival Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. “We will inflict the following on from the same time.”
“The political environment is a favor for Democrats heading into 2026, and with a great candidate focusing on district delivery, House Democrats are poised to regain their majority in 2026,” predicted Rice.
Paul Steinhauser is a political reporter based in New Hampshire.
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