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The Jewish-American national security group has issued warnings about how the US and Israeli enemies will exploit low missile stockpiles after a 12-day war with Iran.
Defending Al-Udeid Air Force Base in Qatar from Iran’s counter strikes has costing US and Israel between $1.488 billion and $1.58 billion, burning the majority of missile interceptors, according to an analysis by the American National Security Association (Jinsa).
Currently, the US and Israel face a “urgent need” to replace these stocks and significantly increase production rates.
The United States had around 632 Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) interceptors by June 13, when Israel launched its attack in Iran. According to the report, approximately 540 interceptors remain in its Arsenal, based on calculations of the delivery and use of Jinsa interceptors.
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Additionally, two Patriot missile interceptor systems to defend Aludade, the largest base in the Middle East, home to 10,000 soldiers, used around 30 Patriot interceptors against 14 Iranian ballistic missiles targeted June 23, with the interceptors costing around $3.7 million each, totaling $111 million.
Iran launched 574 medium-range ballistic missiles towards Israeli and US air force bases in Qatar after strikes at Iranian military and nuclear sites between June 13th and June 24th, when Tel Aviv and Washington ended with Iran’s counter strikes in Qatar.
Two Patriot batteries at Aludede Air Force Base reportedly used around 30 Patriot Interceptors against 14 Iranian ballistic missiles targeting the site on June 23.
Former US Central Commander, Lt. Gen. Thomas Bergson said the US and its allies need to do more to a system that can neutralize the threat without a non-kinetic intercept mechanism or an explosive force.
“There are a lot of operational and developmental tests being conducted with bullets cheaper than multi-billion dollar interceptors to fire down relatively inexpensive missiles or UASs,” he said. “The percentage of guidance systems or specific systems, such as electromagnetic interference capabilities, microwave laser EMP, is cheaper.
“You can have literally hundreds, if not thousands, with one interceptor at a very low cost.”
The costs for the US and Israel were high, but the costs for Iran were high – between $1.1 billion and $6.6 billion. Air defense caused Israel to suffer approximately $13.5 billion in property damage.
Iran was exhausted between a third and half of the ballistic missile arsenal during the 12-day conflict, suggesting that Iran’s claims could have continued to attack Israel for years if it had been exaggerated.
The US had around 632 THAAD interceptors by June 13, and according to the report, Arsenal has around 540 remaining, based on Jinsa’s interceptor delivery and use calculations. (Reuters)
Iran ran out a third to half of the ballistic missile arsenal during the 12-day conflict, including the aftermath of the attack on Haifa in the picture above. (Rami Shlush/Reuters)
Exchange missile stockpiles will be even more expensive as Israel has hit many of its launchers and production sites.
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However, the US has exhausted 14% of its global stockpile of its precious Thaad missile interceptors. The American THAAD system accounts for almost half of all interceptions due to the “inadequate” capabilities of the Israeli arrow intercept system.
It takes 3-8 years to replenish the THAAD interceptors used in the 12-day war at current production rates.
The report states that while production of the Patriot Interceptor is more robust than THAAD, the US offers many patriot interceptors to Ukraine. Therefore, it is unclear how many people are still in the stockpile.
If the US and Israel are unable to urgently refill their interceptor inventory, particularly Thaad and Patriot Systems, they are risking entering the next crisis with dangerously thin defenses. Enemies can note the widening gap between munitions use and stockpiling.
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“Iran’s massive missile campaign may have revealed vulnerabilities in Israel and the US air defense system, providing lessons that Iran or other US enemies could use in the future,” the report said.
The Pentagon was unable to contact us immediately due to comments on its plans to restock missile interceptors.
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