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As conflict in the Middle East escalates, voters are torn apart by Israel’s decision to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities, but I agree that Iran is a national security threat and that what happens overseas is important for life in the US

73% of registered voters believe that Iran poses a real threat to the US, bringing a 13-point increase over the past six years (this question was last asked).

“The increased sense of Iran being a threat is realistic, but it also reflects the unique timing and circumstances surrounding this vote,” says Daron Shaw, a Republican poll that, along with Democrat Chris Anderson, supports the Fox News poll. “The polls have had an image of Iranian missiles where Tel Aviv controls television and the internet. The immediacy and clarity of the conflict definitely contribute to how voters are at risk.”

The majority of Democrats (69%), Republicans (82%) and independents (62%) agree that Iran poses real risks, and that those numbers are rising in 2019 (12, 17 and 4 points, respectively).

The latest Fox investigation released Wednesday when President Donald Trump called for Iran’s “unconditional surrender” found that Israel’s decision to launch a military strike against Iran’s nuclear programme.

Republicans (73% approved) are more than twice as likely as Democrats (32%), while independents (32%) may approve strikes.

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Voters have contradictory concerns. On the one hand, voters are pessimistic about how air strikes affect security. Most people believe that attacks on Iran are less safe and will make the world a more dangerous place (59%). Approximately three-quarters of Democrats (74%) and independents (77%) agree that strikes will be at risk, as do nearly four (36%) of 10 Republicans.

Meanwhile, voters are worried about Iran developing nuclear weapons. Eight in 10 say they are also very or very concerned about Iran’s nuclear program (78%), up from 66% in September 2010.

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The concern is clear, but voters view other issues as more pressing. A list of eight issues is given, and Iran’s nuclear program is in the middle. The US future (85% very concerned), inflation (84%) and government spending (80%) indicate that anti-Semitism (69%), illegal immigration (67%), US military use (66%), and US city protests (63%) are lower than the rank of concern.

Around eight Democrats, Republicans and independents are worried about making Iran the nucleus, but it ranks among the top three concerns for Republicans.

Overall, eight in eight think what happens in the Middle East is important, living in the US (81%) (81%), but over half support Israeli financial aid for the military (53%), an increase of three points since March, down from 60% in November 2023, just after the HAMAS attack on October 7th.

Since November 2023, Democrats (-14 points) and independents (-11) are unlikely to support Republicans (+4 points) sending money to Israelis while ensuring they cement their support.

“Even if most people think they have a high interest, they’re not too preoccupying with the Middle East,” Shaw says. “The fact that the public is not blinded to history and history tells us that those who are directly involved in these conflicts are at risk.”

Trump left the G7 Summit early on Monday along with Secretary of State Marco Rubio, citing the ongoing and intense situation in the Middle East as the reason.

Trump’s approval rate on foreign policy has been relatively stable since April. 42% were approved, and 57% disapproved for a net negative rating of -15, last month -14. He carries better fares (40%, 58%) and inflation (34%, 64%) with border security (53% approved, 46% disapproved) and immigration (46%, 53%).

Overall, 46% approve work performance as president, and 54% disapprove.

Trump’s personal favourable rating was stable at 45% compared to his administration.

Trump’s personal favourable rating was stable at 45%. Compared to those in his administration, Trump is even better with Vice President J.D. Vance (44% is favorable) than Rubio (42%), Elon Musk (41%) and Secretary of Defense (32%). Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gives the best with a positive rating of 48%.

For comparison, the preferred ratings among Democratic leaders were in the same ballpark: Kamala Harris (49% preferred), Joe Biden (43%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (40%), and Gavin Newsom (39%). All those tested were only 2 points for both Harris and RFK Jr.

Russia-Ukraine conflict

The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine has taken the backseat in the Middle East conflict, with 72% saying war in the US is extremely important compared to 81% who say the same thing about what’s going on in the Middle East.

The issue of the Russian-Ukraine War has declined from 81% in October 2023 (when the question was last asked), and from a maximum of 85% in March 2022 (at the start of the war).

Still, 56% of voters support sending money to Ukraine to fight Russia. That number has been stable at 54-63% over the past three years.

Overall, the majority support the sending of financial aid to Ukrainians (56%) and Israelis (53%) to fight their respective wars, and receive partisan support in various theatres.

While 70% of Democrats support Ukrainian fundraising compared to just 46% of Republicans, 71% of Republicans support sending aid to Israel compared to just 43% of Democrats.

Click here for Crosstabs and Topline

The Fox News Survey, conducted on June 13-16, 2025 under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), includes interviews with a sample of 1,003 registered voters randomly selected from voter files across the country. Respondents either spoke with live interviewers on landlines (149) and mobile phones (566) or completed the survey online after receiving texts (288). The results based on the complete sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. The sampling errors for the results between subgroups are high. In addition to sampling errors, the language and order of questions can affect the outcome. Weight generally applies to age, race, education, and local variables, ensuring that respondents’ demographics represent the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight goals include American Community Survey, voter analysis for Fox News, and voter file data.

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